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GLOBAL M6+ QUAKE ALERT

Earth Mass-Resonance Magnification at Long Astronomical Alignments, I - Monitoring & Prediction

NOTES: USGS "M6.4" estimate on the 28 November, Papua quake, was erroneous; see the manual revisions by GFZ and EMSC, both to M6.1. Full Moon interposing the multiple alignment resulted in the 11 Nov magnification (earthquake) attenuate somewhat and thus diverge from the pattern seen always during long alignments (this Full Moon effect was observed in September's Earth-Elenin-Saturn alignment too; browse the above slides for details). Note that final magnitudes of M6+ earthquakes in the Oct-Nov real-time forecast testing were determined by comparing the respective USGS, GFZ, and EMSC estimates to discard outliers (sources' updates as of 30 Nov). Forecast assessment can change without prior notice due to delayed updates by sources, going as far back as one year. *Proximal long alignments occur when heavenly bodies are non-strictly aligned (that is, the bodies never align themselves or they do on occasion, all while staying aligned to within the 5 deg window), so frequent forecast updates should be expected.

Earth Mass-Resonance Magnification at Long Astronomical Alignments, II - Monitoring

NOTES: Earth-resonance M6+ magnification due to long (3+ days) astronomical alignments: note M6+ seismicity subsides when no alignments as well as due to alignment interposing by a fourth Solar-system body. Note also the mass-resonance M6+ magnification is maintained during long alignments only. To see past tracking, drag bottom sliders or use your mouse. Earthquake times to nearest hour. Quiescence means no M6+ earthquakes within prescribed accuracy of up to 1 such earthquake per 3+ consecutive days without Earth's long alignments. Due to unreliable USGS magnitude estimate or their not belonging in any long alignment, a total of nine M6.0-M6.2 (USGS) events were excluded since the beginning of the tracking (May 2011), or less than one per month on average. For example, USGS reported a Mw6.1 Vanuatu earthquake on 04 Sep, EMSC as Mw5.9 and GFZ as Mw5.7 after manual revision; USGS Mw6.0 Cuba earthquake of 15 Sep was revised to M5.4 by GFZ and EMSC, so USGS had to re-revise their already revised estimate to M5.1; etc. Note that final magnitudes of M6+ earthquakes are determined by comparing the respective USGS, GFZ, and EMSC estimates to discard outliers.